TY  - CONF
TI  - Conceptual Estimating and Target Costing
C1  - Fortaleza, Brazil
C3  - 21th Annual Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction
SP  - 217
EP  - 226
PY  - 2013
AU  - Ballard, Glenn
AU  - Pennanen, Ari
AD  - Research Director, Project Production Systems Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, ballard@ce.berkeley.edu
AD  - Adjunct Professor (Tampere University of Technology). Partner of Haahtela Project Management Group, Finland. ari.pennanen@haahtela.fi www.haahtela.fi
ED  - Formoso, Carlos Torres
ED  - Tzortzopoulos, Patricia 
AB  - In an earlier paper, the first author argued that project budgets should be set based on the worth to the client of the asset to be designed and constructed, adjusted as needed for capital availability. However, cost estimates also play a role in the process of feasibility assessment and budgeting. When the client’s allowable cost, what they are willing and able to pay is less than what the asset is expected to cost, the project’s feasibility must be assured. The first step is to estimate the gap between allowable cost and expected cost. The accuracy of conceptual estimates, estimates made from programmatic data, prior to design, are generally assumed to be around +/- 30%. Yet target costs are set prior to design. How can achievable target costs be set when cost estimates are so inexact? This paper reports on research currently underway to document conceptual estimating processes that are substantially more accurate than +/-30% and explains the role played by conceptual estimating in the process of determining a project budget. It is proposed that estimate accuracy is in some degree a misleading conceptualization, encumbered as it is by the implicit assumption that the estimator does not act to cause the estimate to be achieved.
KW  - Cost management
KW  - conceptual estimate
KW  - lean project delivery
KW  - project definition
KW  - target cost
KW  - target value design.
PB  - 
T2  - 21th Annual Conference of the International Group for Lean Construction
DA  - 2013/07/31
CY  - Fortaleza, Brazil
L1  - http://iglc.net/Papers/Details/872/pdf
L2  - http://iglc.net/Papers/Details/872
N1  - Export Date: 19 April 2024
DB  - IGLC.net
DP  - IGLC
LA  - English
ER  -